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為什麼出布容易贏?從球賽、股市到選擇題,在未知中輕鬆致勝的22個預測練習
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為什麼出布容易贏?從球賽、股市到選擇題,在未知中輕鬆致勝的22個預測練習 
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Item No.:310420 BKTW-0010701987
  
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RM 85.20
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RM 62.20 (USD 14.20)
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RM 23.00 (27.0%)
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ISBN: 9789862729434
Author: 威廉.龐士東
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商品別名:Rock Breaks Scissors: A Practical Guide to Outguessing and Outwitting Almost Everybody
作者:威廉.龐士東
譯者:陳儀,陳琇玲
出版社:商周出版
出版日期:2016年01月09日
語言:繁體中文
版別:初版
装订:平裝
页数:336
印刷:單色印刷
分級:普級
ISBN:9789862729434

內容簡介

《如何移動富士山》暢銷科普作家全新力作──
掌握隨機性,就是掌握自己的命運!
識破這些數字陷阱,
輕鬆「算」出下次行動的最佳解!


無論簽樂透、買股票或是上考場,


日常生活都會面臨眾多無法預測的情境,


本書告訴你如何做出獲勝機率最高的選擇,


在未知當中出奇致勝!



●拍賣公司佳士得(Christie’s)靠猜拳,贏得價值190萬美元的收藏品,


究竟剪刀、石頭還是布,是獲勝最安全的選擇?



●企業靠著大數據預測我們喜歡什麼、何時購物、甚至經常出沒的地區,


我們又如何預測企業的下一波優惠何時出現?



●對手可以靠著觀察,看透我們下次發球的球路,


但是「手錶」居然可以幫助我們迷惑對手?



●報假帳、逃漏稅與選舉做票,這些人為捏造的數字都有跡可循,


「班佛定律」如何讓這些詭計通通曝光?



●越冷門的數字越好,不受歡迎的數字最受歡迎,


樂透彩要怎麼選號,才能讓你一人獨得,不用與他人平分彩金?



日常生活的每一個情境,都是一場預測競賽,


搶先識破下一個趨勢、下一波低價、下一個對手的行動,


就能做出最精準的決定,


然而這些預測絕非憑空臆測或瞎碰運氣,


而是可以從機率當中看出玄機!


本書即將揭露在未知中輕鬆致勝的預測祕訣。



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